Murphy Cassone vs Tristan Boyer · Match odds & ELO prediction
Canberra • Hard • Jan 4, 2026 • 2:40 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Murphy Cassone
Key insights
Player performance profile
Murphy Cassone
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,806 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,806 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 50% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.2 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 27% | 9% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Tristan Boyer
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,852 points across 35 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,852 points across 35 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.3 | 46% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 69% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Murphy Cassone and Tristan Boyer are set to meet at the Canberra on January 4, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Cassone enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Boyer has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Cassone entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.