BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Aleksandar Vukic vs Frances Tiafoe · Match odds & ELO prediction

Brisbane • Hard • Jan 4, 2026 • 7:10 AM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Frances Tiafoe

Key insights

Player performance profile

Aleksandar Vukic

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

43%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,066 points across 68 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.952% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-4.88% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+3.076% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
52%55% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Frances Tiafoe

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,041 points across 53 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.849% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.562% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.555% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
52%57% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Aleksandar Vukic and Frances Tiafoe are set to meet at the Brisbane on January 4, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Vukic enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Tiafoe has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Vukic entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tiafoe leads 3–1 over Vukic, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Tiafoe, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Vukic has gone 1–4 over the same span.
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