Alexander Shevchenko vs Raphael Collignon · Match odds & ELO prediction
Brisbane • Hard • Jan 3, 2026 • 12:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Raphael Collignon
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexander Shevchenko
52% · 11–10 on hard
44% · 4–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,617 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,617 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 41% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.0 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 33% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Raphael Collignon
67% · 4–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,669 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,669 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 34% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 47% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.7 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 94% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexander Shevchenko and Raphael Collignon are set to meet at the Brisbane on January 3, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Shevchenko enters with a 11–10 record on hard courts in 2026, while Collignon has posted a 4–2 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Collignon entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Collignon leads 1–0 over Shevchenko, including a win in their most recent meeting.