Alex De Minaur vs Jakub Mensik · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP United Cup • Hard • Jan 6, 2026 • 8:20 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alex De Minaur
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alex De Minaur
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,503 points across 91 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,503 points across 91 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 77% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.4 | 28% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jakub Mensik
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,128 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,128 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 84% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.4 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 66% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alex De Minaur and Jakub Mensik are set to meet at the ATP United Cup on January 6, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Minaur enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Mensik has posted a 1–2 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Minaur, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Minaur leads 4–0 over Mensik, including a win in their most recent meeting.