Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Rinderknech · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP United Cup • Hard • Jan 6, 2026 • 2:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Arthur Rinderknech
Key insights
Player performance profile
Flavio Cobolli
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,323 points across 61 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,323 points across 61 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 27% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 71% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.7 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Arthur Rinderknech
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,290 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,290 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 82% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -6.0 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.1 | 39% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 26% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Flavio Cobolli and Arthur Rinderknech are set to meet at the ATP United Cup on January 6, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Cobolli enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Rinderknech has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Rinderknech, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Rinderknech leads 3–1 over Cobolli, including a win in their most recent meeting.