Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Zhizhen Zhang · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP United Cup • Hard • Jan 4, 2026 • 8:40 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Felix Auger-Aliassime
Key insights
Player performance profile
Felix Auger-Aliassime
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,193 points across 72 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,193 points across 72 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.0 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 56% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.7 | 57% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 81% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Zhizhen Zhang
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,559 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,559 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 77% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -6.5 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.6 | 95% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Felix Auger-Aliassime and Zhizhen Zhang are set to meet at the ATP United Cup on January 4, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Auger-Aliassime enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Zhang has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Zhang entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.