Lourdes Carle Maria vs Mayar Sherif · Match odds & ELO prediction
Colina • Clay • Nov 21, 2025 • 5:15 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Mayar Sherif
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lourdes Carle Maria
44% · 7–9 on hard
55% · 26–21 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,688 points across 27 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,688 points across 27 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.2 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 17% | 5% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mayar Sherif
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,835 points across 13 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,835 points across 13 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.2 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -6.3 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.1 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 20% | 6% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lourdes Carle Maria and Mayar Sherif are set to meet at the Colina on November 21, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Maria enters with a 26–21 record on clay courts in 2025, while Sherif has posted a 35–16 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Sherif leads 3–1 over Maria, including a win in their most recent meeting.