Francesco Maestrelli vs Stefano Napolitano · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bergamo • Hard • Nov 21, 2025 • 7:35 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Francesco Maestrelli
Key insights
Player performance profile
Francesco Maestrelli
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~441 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~441 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.5 | 97% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Stefano Napolitano
47% · 7–8 on hard
55% · 12–10 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~961 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~961 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 55% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Francesco Maestrelli and Stefano Napolitano are set to meet at the Bergamo on November 21, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Maestrelli enters with a 18–10 record on hard courts in 2025, while Napolitano has posted a 7–8 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Maestrelli, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Maestrelli leads 3–0 over Napolitano, including a win in their most recent meeting.