BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Mathys Erhard vs Maxim Mrva · Match odds & ELO prediction

Soma Bay • Hard • Nov 21, 2025 • 9:10 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Mathys Erhard

Key insights

Player performance profile

Mathys Erhard

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~103 points across 1 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.952% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.099% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.556% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Maxim Mrva

HARD

67% · 147 on hard

CLAY

56% · 2318 on clay

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~0 points across 0 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.036% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.084% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
0.048% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Mathys Erhard and Maxim Mrva are set to meet at the Soma Bay on November 21, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Erhard enters with a 14–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Mrva has posted a 14–7 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Mrva, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Erhard leads 3–0 over Mrva, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Erhard and Mrva alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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