BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Mateus Alves vs Gustavo Heide · Match odds & ELO prediction

Florianopolis • Clay • Nov 20, 2025 • 2:10 PM

Clay

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Gustavo Heide

Key insights

Player performance profile

Mateus Alves

HARD

20% · 14 on hard

CLAY

53% · 2724 on clay

Games won (last 10)

44%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~0 points across 0 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.037% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.083% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
0.050% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Gustavo Heide

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

64%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,507 points across 10 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.258% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.913% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+6.192% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Mateus Alves and Gustavo Heide are set to meet at the Florianopolis on November 20, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Alves enters with a 27–24 record on clay courts in 2025, while Heide has posted a 28–11 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Heide entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Heide leads 4–1 over Alves, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Heide, who has won 5 of his last five matches, while Alves has gone 0–5 over the same span.
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