Cristian Garin vs Tomas Barrios Vera · Match odds & ELO prediction
Montevideo • Clay • Nov 15, 2025 • 10:40 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Cristian Garin
Key insights
Player performance profile
Cristian Garin
0% · 0–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,250 points across 33 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,250 points across 33 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 27% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.0 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 39% | 21% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Tomas Barrios Vera
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,150 points across 28 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,150 points across 28 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 42% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 42% | 26% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Cristian Garin and Tomas Barrios Vera are set to meet at the Montevideo on November 15, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Garin enters with a 38–13 record on clay courts in 2025, while Vera has posted a 42–20 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Garin, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Garin leads 3–2 over Vera, including a win in their most recent meeting.