Cristian Garin vs Tomas Barrios Vera · Match odds & ELO prediction
Montevideo • Clay • Nov 15, 2025 • 10:40 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Cristian Garin
Key insights
Player performance profile
Cristian Garin
0% · 0–5 on hard
57% · 8–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,321 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,321 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 87% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.5 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 35% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Tomas Barrios Vera
55% · 6–5 on hard
47% · 9–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,672 points across 32 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,672 points across 32 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 25% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Cristian Garin and Tomas Barrios Vera are set to meet at the Montevideo on November 15, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Garin enters with a 38–13 record on clay courts in 2025, while Vera has posted a 42–20 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Vera entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Garin leads 3–2 over Vera, including a win in their most recent meeting.