BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassime · Match odds & ELO prediction

Finals - Turin • Hard • Nov 14, 2025 • 7:45 PM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Felix Auger-Aliassime

Key insights

Player performance profile

Alexander Zverev

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

61%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~16,007 points across 101 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
4.895% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.969% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.361% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
63%83% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Felix Auger-Aliassime

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~14,345 points across 88 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
4.996% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.852% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.067% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
69%91% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Alexander Zverev and Felix Auger-Aliassime are set to meet at the Finals - Turin on November 14, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Zverev enters with a 31–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Auger-Aliassime has posted a 43–16 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 5 wins.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Zverev and Auger-Aliassime have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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