Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton · Match odds & ELO prediction
Finals - Turin • Hard • Nov 9, 2025 • 7:45 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alexander Zverev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexander Zverev
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,343 points across 79 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,343 points across 79 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.7 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 65% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 51% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 79% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ben Shelton
64% · 27–15 on hard
58% · 7–5 on clay
60% · 6–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,637 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,637 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.3 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.7 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.0 | 98% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 73% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexander Zverev and Ben Shelton are set to meet at the Finals - Turin on November 9, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Zverev enters with a 31–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Shelton has posted a 27–15 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Zverev leads 5–0 over Shelton, including a win in their most recent meeting.