Mai Hontama vs Claire Liu · Match odds & ELO prediction
Austin • Hard • Nov 4, 2025 • 4:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Claire Liu
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mai Hontama
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
39%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,253 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,253 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 92% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.3 | 27% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 19% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Claire Liu
64% · 23–13 on hard
38% · 3–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,893 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,893 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 45% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 40% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.6 | 70% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 38% | 23% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mai Hontama and Claire Liu are set to meet at the Austin on November 4, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Hontama enters with a 18–26 record on hard courts in 2025, while Liu has posted a 23–13 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Liu entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.