BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Mary Stoiana vs Darja Vidmanova · Match odds & ELO prediction

Austin • Hard • Nov 3, 2025 • 7:00 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Mary Stoiana

Key insights

Player performance profile

Mary Stoiana

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~0 points across 0 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.045% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.061% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
0.050% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Darja Vidmanova

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

57%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~752 points across 7 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
5.298% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.943% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+5.586% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Mary Stoiana and Darja Vidmanova are set to meet at the Austin on November 3, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Stoiana enters with a 28–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Vidmanova has posted a 26–9 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Vidmanova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Stoiana leads 2–1 over Vidmanova, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Stoiana and Vidmanova have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
Loading value signal…