Lourdes Carle Maria vs Antonia Vergara Rivera · Match odds & ELO prediction
Tucuman • Clay • Nov 3, 2025 • 9:05 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Antonia Vergara Rivera
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lourdes Carle Maria
44% · 7–9 on hard
55% · 26–21 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,688 points across 27 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,688 points across 27 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.2 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 17% | 6% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Antonia Vergara Rivera
60% · 3–2 on hard
69% · 38–17 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lourdes Carle Maria and Antonia Vergara Rivera are set to meet at the Tucuman on November 3, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Maria enters with a 26–21 record on clay courts in 2025, while Rivera has posted a 38–17 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Maria entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rivera leads 1–0 over Maria, including a win in their most recent meeting.