Timofey Skatov vs Cristian Garin · Match odds & ELO prediction
Lima 2 • Clay • Nov 4, 2025 • 3:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Cristian Garin
Key insights
Player performance profile
Timofey Skatov
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,612 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,612 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -10.8 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Cristian Garin
0% · 0–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,250 points across 33 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,250 points across 33 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 27% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.0 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 39% | 21% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Timofey Skatov and Cristian Garin are set to meet at the Lima 2 on November 4, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Skatov enters with a 22–19 record on clay courts in 2025, while Garin has posted a 38–13 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Skatov entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Garin leads 2–1 over Skatov, including a win in their most recent meeting.