Dane Sweeny vs Emil Overbeck Carl · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Brisbane 2 • Hard • Nov 2, 2025 • 2:40 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Dane Sweeny
Key insights
Player performance profile
Dane Sweeny
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~804 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~804 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.2 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Emil Overbeck Carl
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Dane Sweeny and Emil Overbeck Carl are set to meet at the M25 Brisbane 2 on November 2, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Sweeny enters with a 70–23 record on hard courts in 2025, while Carl has posted a 19–7 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Sweeny entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Sweeny leads 2–0 over Carl, including a win in their most recent meeting.