Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublik · Match odds & ELO prediction
Paris • Hard • Nov 1, 2025 • 1:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Felix Auger-Aliassime
Key insights
Player performance profile
Felix Auger-Aliassime
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,987 points across 79 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,987 points across 79 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.4 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.9 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 68% | 89% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Bublik
100% · 4–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,534 points across 69 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,534 points across 69 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.8 | 80% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 68% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Felix Auger-Aliassime and Alexander Bublik are set to meet at the Paris on November 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Auger-Aliassime enters with a 43–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Bublik has posted a 20–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Auger-Aliassime, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Auger-Aliassime leads 4–1 over Bublik, including a win in their most recent meeting.