Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublik · Match odds & ELO prediction
Paris • Hard • Nov 1, 2025 • 1:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Felix Auger-Aliassime
Key insights
Player performance profile
Felix Auger-Aliassime
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,690 points across 84 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,690 points across 84 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.2 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 55% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.3 | 70% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 70% | 92% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Bublik
100% · 4–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,368 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,368 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 82% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 77% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Felix Auger-Aliassime and Alexander Bublik are set to meet at the Paris on November 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Auger-Aliassime enters with a 43–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Bublik has posted a 20–16 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Auger-Aliassime leads 4–1 over Bublik, including a win in their most recent meeting.