Fajing Sun vs Hayato Matsuoka · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Qian Daohu • Hard • Oct 31, 2025 • 2:10 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Fajing Sun
Key insights
Player performance profile
Fajing Sun
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~463 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~463 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.9 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.5 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 37% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Hayato Matsuoka
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Fajing Sun and Hayato Matsuoka are set to meet at the M25 Qian Daohu on October 31, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Sun enters with a 24–22 record on hard courts in 2025, while Matsuoka has posted a 31–23 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Sun leads 2–0 over Matsuoka, including a win in their most recent meeting.