Arantxa Rus vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon · Match odds & ELO prediction
W100 Irapuato • Hard • Oct 30, 2025 • 8:25 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Arantxa Rus
Key insights
Player performance profile
Arantxa Rus
44% · 4–5 on hard
14% · 1–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,292 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,292 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.1 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 25% | 7% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
55% · 6–5 on hard
83% · 20–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
64%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 47% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 63% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Arantxa Rus and Lucciana Perez Alarcon are set to meet at the W100 Irapuato on October 30, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Rus enters with a 12–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Alarcon has posted a 6–5 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Rus, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Rus leads 1–0 over Alarcon, including a win in their most recent meeting.