Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego · Match odds & ELO prediction
Paris • Hard • Oct 29, 2025 • 5:40 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Lorenzo Sonego
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lorenzo Musetti
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,330 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,330 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 84% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 87% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.7 | 56% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 66% | 84% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lorenzo Sonego
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,381 points across 54 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,381 points across 54 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.5 | 79% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.4 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.5 | 69% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 38% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lorenzo Musetti and Lorenzo Sonego are set to meet at the Paris on October 29, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Musetti enters with a 26–17 record on hard courts in 2025, while Sonego has posted a 19–20 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Sonego leads 2–1 over Musetti, including a win in their most recent meeting.