Rio Noguchi vs Sho Shimabukuro · Match odds & ELO prediction
Seoul • Hard • Oct 29, 2025 • 2:05 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Sho Shimabukuro
Key insights
Player performance profile
Rio Noguchi
70% · 19–8 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~269 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~269 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sho Shimabukuro
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,652 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,652 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 64% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 82% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 40% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 94% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Rio Noguchi and Sho Shimabukuro are set to meet at the Seoul on October 29, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Noguchi enters with a 38–31 record on hard courts in 2025, while Shimabukuro has posted a 31–20 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Shimabukuro, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.