Rafael Jodar vs Murphy Cassone · Match odds & ELO prediction
Charlottesville • Hard • Oct 28, 2025 • 11:20 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Rafael Jodar
Key insights
Player performance profile
Rafael Jodar
86% · 6–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,295 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,295 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 85% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.5 | 71% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 88% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Murphy Cassone
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,806 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,806 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.2 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 27% | 9% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Rafael Jodar and Murphy Cassone are set to meet at the Charlottesville on October 28, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Jodar enters with a 36–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Cassone has posted a 34–23 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Jodar entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Jodar leads 2–0 over Cassone, including a win in their most recent meeting.