Alexandre Muller vs Brandon Nakashima · Match odds & ELO prediction
Paris • Hard • Oct 27, 2025 • 4:55 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alexandre Muller
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexandre Muller
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,589 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,589 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.0 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 75% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Brandon Nakashima
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,791 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,791 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 90% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.6 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexandre Muller and Brandon Nakashima are set to meet at the Paris on October 27, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Muller enters with a 15–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Nakashima has posted a 21–19 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Nakashima entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Nakashima leads 2–1 over Muller.