Flavio Cobolli vs Tomas Machac · Match odds & ELO prediction
Paris • Hard • Oct 27, 2025 • 10:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Flavio Cobolli
Key insights
Player performance profile
Flavio Cobolli
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,983 points across 81 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,983 points across 81 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 27% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 68% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.2 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 59% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Tomas Machac
62% · 8–5 on hard
50% · 4–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,133 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,133 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 65% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 69% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.1 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 88% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Flavio Cobolli and Tomas Machac are set to meet at the Paris on October 27, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Cobolli enters with a 15–20 record on hard courts in 2025, while Machac has posted a 17–12 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Machac entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Machac leads 3–2 over Cobolli.