Katrina Scott vs Varvara Lepchenko · Match odds & ELO prediction
Queretaro • Clay • Oct 21, 2025 • 7:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Katrina Scott
Key insights
Player performance profile
Katrina Scott
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~129 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~129 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 49% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Varvara Lepchenko
52% · 17–16 on hard
55% · 21–17 on clay
25% · 1–3 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,932 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,932 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 47% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.4 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 24% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Katrina Scott and Varvara Lepchenko are set to meet at the Queretaro on October 21, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Scott enters with a 9–4 record on clay courts in 2025, while Lepchenko has posted a 21–17 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.