Rafael Jodar vs Martin Damm · Match odds & ELO prediction
Lincoln • Hard • Oct 19, 2025 • 6:10 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Rafael Jodar
Key insights
Player performance profile
Rafael Jodar
86% · 6–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~438 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~438 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.8 | 84% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Martin Damm
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,015 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,015 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.4 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 67% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 89% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Rafael Jodar and Martin Damm are set to meet at the Lincoln on October 19, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Jodar enters with a 36–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Damm has posted a 50–18 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Jodar entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Jodar leads 2–0 over Damm, including a win in their most recent meeting.