Corentin Moutet vs Daniil Medvedev · Match odds & ELO prediction
Almaty • Hard • Oct 19, 2025 • 10:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Daniil Medvedev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Corentin Moutet
58% · 22–16 on hard
47% · 8–9 on clay
69% · 9–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,808 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,808 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.5 | 70% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 59% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daniil Medvedev
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,032 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,032 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 79% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.3 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 60% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Corentin Moutet and Daniil Medvedev are set to meet at the Almaty on October 19, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Moutet enters with a 22–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Medvedev has posted a 30–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Medvedev, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Moutet leads 3–2 over Medvedev, including a win in their most recent meeting.