Daniil Medvedev vs Nuno Borges · Match odds & ELO prediction
Vienna • Hard • Oct 22, 2025 • 1:35 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Daniil Medvedev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daniil Medvedev
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,126 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,126 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.7 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Nuno Borges
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,620 points across 68 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,620 points across 68 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 55% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 37% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.4 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 41% | 24% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daniil Medvedev and Nuno Borges are set to meet at the Vienna on October 22, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Medvedev enters with a 30–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Borges has posted a 20–18 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Medvedev, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Medvedev leads 4–0 over Borges, including a win in their most recent meeting.