Jesper De Jong vs Matteo Arnaldi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Vienna • Hard • Oct 18, 2025 • 12:25 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Matteo Arnaldi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jesper De Jong
0% · 0–6 on hard
56% · 9–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,890 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,890 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 49% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 48% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.0 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 39% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Matteo Arnaldi
25% · 1–3 on hard
55% · 6–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,638 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,638 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 33% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.3 | 82% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 70% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jesper De Jong and Matteo Arnaldi are set to meet at the Vienna on October 18, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Jong enters with a 12–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Arnaldi has posted a 16–18 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Arnaldi, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Arnaldi leads 3–1 over Jong, including a win in their most recent meeting.