Match analytics

Holger Rune vs Martin Etcheverry Tomas · Match odds & ELO prediction

Stockholm • Hard • Oct 17, 2025 • 1:10 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Holger Rune

Key insights

Player performance profile

Holger Rune

HARD

64% · 2313 on hard

CLAY

64% · 95 on clay

GRASSSmall sample

50% · 22 on grass

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,805 points across 52 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.870% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.066% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.352% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
48%40% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Martin Etcheverry Tomas

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,310 points across 58 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.649% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.655% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.743% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
41%26% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Holger Rune and Martin Etcheverry Tomas are set to meet at the Stockholm on October 17, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Rune enters with a 23–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Tomas has posted a 16–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Tomas entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rune leads 3–1 over Tomas, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Rune and Tomas have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.