Ugo Humbert vs Lorenzo Sonego · Match odds & ELO prediction
Stockholm • Hard • Oct 17, 2025 • 10:10 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Ugo Humbert
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ugo Humbert
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,924 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,924 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.6 | 90% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 29% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.6 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 73% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lorenzo Sonego
50% · 2–2 on hard
25% · 1–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,334 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,334 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.5 | 77% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 30% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ugo Humbert and Lorenzo Sonego are set to meet at the Stockholm on October 17, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Humbert enters with a 18–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Sonego has posted a 19–20 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Humbert, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Humbert leads 6–3 over Sonego, including a win in their most recent meeting.