Belinda Bencic vs Jasmine Paolini · Match odds & ELO prediction
Ningbo • Hard • Oct 17, 2025 • 5:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Jasmine Paolini
Key insights
Player performance profile
Belinda Bencic
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
62%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,950 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,950 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 66% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.1 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 86% | 96% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jasmine Paolini
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,186 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,186 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 63% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 79% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.8 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 79% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Belinda Bencic and Jasmine Paolini are set to meet at the Ningbo on October 17, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Bencic enters with a 31–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Paolini has posted a 27–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Bencic, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Bencic leads 3–2 over Paolini, including a win in their most recent meeting.