Marc Van Der Merwe vs Corentin Denolly · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Kigali 2 • Clay • Oct 17, 2025 • 8:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Corentin Denolly
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marc Van Der Merwe
62% · 13–8 on hard
60% · 3–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Corentin Denolly
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~705 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~705 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 28% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.2 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marc Van Der Merwe and Corentin Denolly are set to meet at the M25 Kigali 2 on October 17, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Merwe enters with a 3–2 record on clay courts in 2025, while Denolly has posted a 25–21 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Merwe entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Denolly leads 2–0 over Merwe, including a win in their most recent meeting.