BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Bastian Malla vs Maria Zarate Carlos · Match odds & ELO prediction

M15 Santiago 5 • Clay • Oct 16, 2025 • 3:00 PM

Clay

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Maria Zarate Carlos

Key insights

Player performance profile

Bastian Malla

CLAY

55% · 119 on clay

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~0 points across 0 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.038% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.083% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
0.048% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Maria Zarate Carlos

CLAY

63% · 159 on clay

Games won (last 10)

59%

10 matches tracked

Match Overview

Bastian Malla and Maria Zarate Carlos are set to meet at the M15 Santiago 5 on October 16, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Malla enters with a 11–9 record on clay courts in 2025, while Carlos has posted a 31–23 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Carlos entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Carlos leads 2–0 over Malla, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Malla and Carlos have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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