Madelyn Nugroho Priska vs Arina Rodionova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Jinan • Hard • Oct 16, 2025 • 5:40 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Madelyn Nugroho Priska
Key insights
Player performance profile
Madelyn Nugroho Priska
55% · 23–19 on hard
29% · 2–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~210 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~210 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 59% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 44% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.7 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Arina Rodionova
56% · 20–16 on hard
44% · 7–9 on clay
50% · 2–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,366 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,366 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 48% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.8 | 25% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 41% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Madelyn Nugroho Priska and Arina Rodionova are set to meet at the Jinan on October 16, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Priska enters with a 23–19 record on hard courts in 2025, while Rodionova has posted a 20–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Priska entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Priska leads 1–0 over Rodionova, including a win in their most recent meeting.