Dominik Recek vs Nick Hardt · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 11 • Clay • Oct 17, 2025 • 9:30 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Dominik Recek
Key insights
Player performance profile
Dominik Recek
50% · 2–2 on hard
53% · 8–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Nick Hardt
25% · 1–3 on hard
59% · 23–16 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~96 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~96 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.2 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 90% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 39% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Dominik Recek and Nick Hardt are set to meet at the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 11 on October 17, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Recek enters with a 8–7 record on clay courts in 2025, while Hardt has posted a 23–16 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Hardt entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Recek leads 1–0 over Hardt, including a win in their most recent meeting.