BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Martin Damm vs Oliver Tarvet · Match odds & ELO prediction

Lincoln • Hard • Oct 16, 2025 • 4:15 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Martin Damm

Key insights

Player performance profile

Martin Damm

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,564 points across 9 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
5.798% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-5.16% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.957% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
67%89% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Oliver Tarvet

HARD

69% · 188 on hard

GRASS

80% · 41 on grass

Games won (last 10)

46%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~624 points across 4 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
4.493% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.9100% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+3.579% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Martin Damm and Oliver Tarvet are set to meet at the Lincoln on October 16, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Damm enters with a 50–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Tarvet has posted a 18–8 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Damm entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Damm leads 1–0 over Tarvet, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Damm and Tarvet alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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