BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Ann Li vs Rebecca Sramkova · Match odds & ELO prediction

Osaka • Hard • Oct 16, 2025 • 2:35 AM

Hard

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Rebecca Sramkova

Key insights

Player performance profile

Ann Li

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,838 points across 59 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.165% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.847% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.616% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
43%33% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Rebecca Sramkova

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,203 points across 56 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.147% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.025% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.654% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
57%63% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Ann Li and Rebecca Sramkova are set to meet at the Osaka on October 16, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Li enters with a 24–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Sramkova has posted a 15–19 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Li entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Li leads 2–1 over Sramkova.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Li and Sramkova alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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