Paulina Perez Garcia Maria vs Carolina Alves · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rio de Janeiro • Clay • Oct 14, 2025 • 5:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Carolina Alves
Key insights
Player performance profile
Paulina Perez Garcia Maria
30% · 3–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
20%
4 matches tracked · limited sample
Carolina Alves
0% · 0–1 on hard
60% · 43–29 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~766 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~766 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 66% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.2 | 49% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Paulina Perez Garcia Maria and Carolina Alves are set to meet at the Rio de Janeiro on October 14, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Maria enters with a 3–7 record on clay courts in 2025, while Alves has posted a 43–29 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Alves entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Alves leads 1–0 over Maria, including a win in their most recent meeting.