Martina Colmegna vs Lourdes Carle Maria · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rio de Janeiro • Clay • Oct 14, 2025 • 4:05 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Martina Colmegna
Key insights
Player performance profile
Martina Colmegna
80% · 4–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Lourdes Carle Maria
44% · 7–9 on hard
55% · 26–21 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,688 points across 27 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,688 points across 27 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.2 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 17% | 6% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Martina Colmegna and Lourdes Carle Maria are set to meet at the Rio de Janeiro on October 14, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Colmegna enters with a 21–15 record on clay courts in 2025, while Maria has posted a 26–21 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Maria, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Colmegna leads 3–0 over Maria, including a win in their most recent meeting.