Lia Karatancheva vs Petra Marcinko · Match odds & ELO prediction
Tampico • Hard • Oct 14, 2025 • 1:05 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Petra Marcinko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lia Karatancheva
27% · 3–8 on hard
54% · 27–23 on clay
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~424 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~424 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.6 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.6 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Petra Marcinko
50% · 2–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,169 points across 13 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,169 points across 13 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 68% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 62% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lia Karatancheva and Petra Marcinko are set to meet at the Tampico on October 14, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Karatancheva enters with a 3–8 record on hard courts in 2025, while Marcinko has posted a 35–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Marcinko entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Marcinko leads 3–1 over Karatancheva, including a win in their most recent meeting.