Alexei Popyrin vs Sebastian Korda · Match odds & ELO prediction
Stockholm • Hard • Oct 13, 2025 • 3:55 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Sebastian Korda
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexei Popyrin
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,023 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,023 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 50% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 77% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sebastian Korda
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,964 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,964 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 81% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 42% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.8 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 82% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexei Popyrin and Sebastian Korda are set to meet at the Stockholm on October 13, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Popyrin enters with a 7–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Korda has posted a 19–13 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Korda entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Korda leads 3–1 over Popyrin, including a win in their most recent meeting.