Hugo Gaston vs Otto Virtanen · Match odds & ELO prediction
Roanne • Hard • Oct 12, 2025 • 1:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Otto Virtanen
Key insights
Player performance profile
Hugo Gaston
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,849 points across 33 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,849 points across 33 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 76% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 55% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Otto Virtanen
52% · 16–15 on hard
42% · 5–7 on clay
100% · 6–0 on grass
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,669 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,669 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 50% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.7 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 79% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Hugo Gaston and Otto Virtanen are set to meet at the Roanne on October 12, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Gaston enters with a 24–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Virtanen has posted a 16–15 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Gaston leads 2–1 over Virtanen.