Match analytics

Rio Noguchi vs Kaichi Uchida · Match odds & ELO prediction

Shenzhen 4 • Hard • Oct 15, 2025 • 5:40 AM

Hard

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Kaichi Uchida

Key insights

Player performance profile

Rio Noguchi

HARD

100% · 50 on hard

Games won (last 10)

57%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~269 points across 2 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.35% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.560% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.452% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Kaichi Uchida

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Match Overview

Rio Noguchi and Kaichi Uchida are set to meet at the Shenzhen 4 on October 15, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Noguchi enters with a 38–31 record on hard courts in 2025, while Uchida has posted a 47–28 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 3 wins.

Recent singles form slightly favors Noguchi, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Uchida has gone 2–3 over the same span.