Fabian Marozsan vs Luca Nardi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Almaty • Hard • Oct 13, 2025 • 6:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Fabian Marozsan
Key insights
Player performance profile
Fabian Marozsan
46% · 6–7 on hard
50% · 5–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,459 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,459 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 52% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 44% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.6 | 54% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 66% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Luca Nardi
47% · 8–9 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,000 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,000 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.3 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 63% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Fabian Marozsan and Luca Nardi are set to meet at the Almaty on October 13, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Marozsan enters with a 16–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Nardi has posted a 22–19 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Marozsan, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Marozsan leads 4–0 over Nardi, including a win in their most recent meeting.