Kimberly Birrell vs Mai Hontama · Match odds & ELO prediction
Osaka • Hard • Oct 12, 2025 • 8:50 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Kimberly Birrell
Key insights
Player performance profile
Kimberly Birrell
64% · 16–9 on hard
0% · 0–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,944 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,944 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 69% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 41% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.2 | 46% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 70% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mai Hontama
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,579 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,579 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 85% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.2 | 29% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 29% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Kimberly Birrell and Mai Hontama are set to meet at the Osaka on October 12, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Birrell enters with a 31–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Hontama has posted a 18–26 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Birrell entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.