Maik Steiner vs Corentin Denolly · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Kigali • Clay • Oct 12, 2025 • 10:00 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Corentin Denolly
Key insights
Player performance profile
Maik Steiner
48% · 10–11 on hard
45% · 14–17 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Corentin Denolly
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~705 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~705 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.2 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Maik Steiner and Corentin Denolly are set to meet at the M25 Kigali on October 12, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Steiner enters with a 14–17 record on clay courts in 2025, while Denolly has posted a 25–21 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Denolly entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Denolly leads 2–0 over Steiner, including a win in their most recent meeting.