Jan Choinski vs Henri Squire · Match odds & ELO prediction
Valencia • Clay • Oct 12, 2025 • 11:15 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Jan Choinski
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jan Choinski
45% · 5–6 on hard
33% · 4–8 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,075 points across 13 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,075 points across 13 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Henri Squire
48% · 10–11 on hard
60% · 31–21 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~537 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~537 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 55% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.6 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jan Choinski and Henri Squire are set to meet at the Valencia on October 12, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Choinski enters with a 31–15 record on clay courts in 2025, while Squire has posted a 31–21 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Choinski entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Choinski leads 2–1 over Squire, including a win in their most recent meeting.